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Category Archives: It’s All Connected…

El Niño or La Niña

El Niño, the warm phase of ENSO (El Niño – Southern Oscillation weather pattern).

La Niña, the opposite of El Niño. The cold phase.

Oscillation, a repetitive back and forth at a regular interval.

We emerged from a very long run of El Niño which was followed closely by an ENSO-neutral (neither El Niño nor La Niña) period. Here in South Western Canada this means that last winter did not get that cold and it seemed to be a fairly short winter (in my memory anyway). The weather forecasters are now telling us that there is a very good chance that La Niña could bring a very cold winter.

El Niño and La Niña are normal weather patterns that fluctuate back and forth over the years and decades. They are much more predictable than the political adversaries they are blamed on and basically, what we need to do, is pay attention and dress for the occasion!

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A little light reading on the subject (perfect for a chilly, smoky September afternoon):

Collins, M. El Niño- or La Niña-like climate change?. Clim Dyn 24, 89–104 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0478-x

  • This article is not available for free but has some excellent links to the references that Professor Matthew Collins cites.

William S. (Billy) Brown. History of Los Padres National Forest, 1898-1945

William S. (Billy) Brown worked with the US Forest Service for 35 years, retiring in 1945. There is more of his writing out there and I will be keeping an eye open for it!

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Brown, William S. (Billy). 1945. History of Los Padres National Forest: 1898-1945. Manuscript, Los Padres National Forest, Goleta, CA.

Blakley, Elwood Robert (Jim) and Karen Barnette. Historical Overview of Los Padres National Forest, 1985.

Elwood Robert (Jim) Blakley was a Grounds Superintendent at the Santa Barbara Botanic Garden. He collected plants, mainly herbs. He was a naturalist and an historian. Karen Barnette was a Cultural Resources Special with the Los Padres National Forest Service. Jim Blakley and Karen Barnette co-authored the paper, “Historical Overview of Los Padres National Forest, 1898-1945.”

This book is out of print but is available online. It follows the “History of Los Padres National Forest” written by William S. Brown in 1948.

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Blakley, J.E., and K. Barnette. 1985. Historical overview of Los Padres National Forest. Los Padres Interpretive Association, Santa Barbara, California, USA.

Adams, Kramer: The Redwoods, 1969

The book, The Redwoods (published in 1969 by Popular Library), by Kramer Adams, is cited by Gregory Jones in his Masters Theses, Coast redwood fire history and land use in the Santa Cruz Mountains, California (2014, San Jose State University).

It looks like a fairly rare book with only a handful of copies showing up in my online searches.

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Adams, Kramer. 1969. The Redwoods. Popular Library, New York, New York, USA.

Jones, Gregory. Coast redwood fire history and land use in the Santa Cruz Mountains, California. San Jose State University. 2014

I have read a bit and will go through Gregory Jones’s Master’s Theses, Coast redwood fire history and land use in the Santa Cruz Mountains, tonight.

If you are unfamiliar with reading a theses, start with the introduction and then, what I do, is to move through the pages between the Introduction and the Discussion fairly quickly. I find that discussion sections can be quite interesting and, if you need more information on something that is being ‘discussed’ – you can go back and the information is probably in those pages that you turned through quickly.

If I find more by Gregory Jones, I will add it here. If you have any comments or would like to discuss this paper, I would like to hear from you!

Here are the links you need to find this work:

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Jones, Gregory.  San Jose State University.  Publications Link.

LeTourneau Land Train

54 Wheel Drive Electric Vehicle

TournaTrain.m4V

1950’s technology.  Developed by R.G. LeTourneau

Micro-Management Rarely Works

I remember working out at Woodfibre (Squamish) and driving back and forth between the ferry parking lot (there was a walk-on ferry to take us across the water to Woodfibre and back) and my house in Delta, everyday.  An hour and a half at least, each way.  Those were 10 hour shifts, 7 days a week, until the job was done.  The jobs usually lasted about 2 to 3 weeks.
One job I am thinking about right now.  Well, not so much the job it was my home and family that I remember.  Every night, walking through the front door, the house was a worse mess.  And then, they were looking at me to make dinner.  I walked in one night towards the end of the job, and said, “if this place looks like this tomorrow I am just going to set up caution tape.”  I was too tired to feel anything but disappointment.  I took my shower and went to bed.
They figured it out.  The next day I opened the front door into a clean, sparkly living room!  And, if I remember right, dinner was ready.

Fish – Catching, Canning, Eating… The Chain of Supply is Broken

The canneries and fish processing plants have help from the Canadian government.  They need people to catch the fish that they process.

Canneries & fish processing plants need (incomplete list of real needs!):

  • Fish
  • People
  • Machinery
  • Trucking
  • Markets

Let’s take this a bit further

– To commercially catch a fish one needs (incomplete list of real needs!):

  • a Boat
  • a Fishing License
  • Fishing Gear
  • Communication Equipment
  • PPE
  • Nets or Tackle
  • a Crew

– To build a Boat one needs (incomplete list of real needs!):

  • Space, preferably Light Industrial
  • Plans
  • Material – Aluminum, Steel, Wood, Fiberglass, Engine, Doors, Door Knobs, Windows,  Windshield Wipers, Steering Wheels, Hydraulics, Electronics…
  • a Crew – Welders, Carpenters, Fiberglass Specialists, Machinists, Mechanics, Electricians, Plumbers (only sometimes)…
  • Inspections
  • Certifications
  • Sales People and Office Staff
  • a Customer
  • old boats need the same thing at their beginnings

– that ‘Space’ thing (incomplete list of real needs!):

  • Light Industrial or Commercial Space
  • a place large enough to build that boat in
    • 30′ depth for a small boat
    • under cover or inside a building for those smaller boats – a shipyard works for both smaller and larger boats
    • doors or gates wide enough to allow the finished or partially finished boat to be pulled out
    • property large enough for a semi with a trailer to maneuver in

The Lists of needs to get a can of fish into a grocery store.  Areas needing support that have been missed in these lists?

  • Power Generation
  • Water Systems
  • Hospitals and Clinics
  • Mines
  • Smelters and Foundries
  • Forestry
  • Lumberyards
  • Pulp & Paper Mills
  • Plastics Producers
  • Chemical Producers
  • Schools, Trades Schools, Colleges, Universities
  • Government Apprenticeship Programs
  • Wholesalers & Distributors
  • Retailers
  • Clothing Manufacturers
  • Restaurants
  • Printers
  • Farmers
  • Truckers
  • Medical Professionals
  • Lawyers and Accounts

Not an exhaustive list by any standard.

An exhaustive list would include every industry and every large, medium and small business, run by a Canadian.  An exhaustive list would include every person in Canada, every person around the world.  We can connect every one if the list is exhaustive enough.  Consilience cannot be either ignored or done away with.  The chain of supply is consilience.  The chain of supply, is broken.

Mr. Trudeau,  with all due respect…  What do you suppose your patch for the Fish Processing Plants is going to do without the necessary support for all of the other small and independent businesses (Fishers, Farmers, Truck Drivers) that you have cut out of this chain?  All those businesses that the fish processing plants and canneries depend on.  All those, mostly small, businesses and individuals that do not qualify for any of your handouts?

We can talk about the Meat Processing Plants another day.  I am certain that you really will be getting to the individuals that you have been seeming to ignore.  It is just that those individuals who are without support are just not nearly as needy as the multi-million dollar grossing corporations that own the fish and meat processing plants. Or, maybe we should just follow your money offshore?

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Further Reading:

I, Pencil by Leonard E. Read.  Introduction by Milton Friedman

 

The Butterfly Ball, Roger Glover – 1974

It just seems like a good day to share a smile and a bit of good cheer!

It is Time to Put an End to the Daily Spectical of Political Theatre in Canada

“We have chosen to help the most vulnerable….”

This scripted line has been repeated by The Right Honourable Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada, almost every morning for how many weeks now?  I have lost count.

The most vulnerable, the most frail of the elderly, are now dying in their beds.  Not of age, not of COVID-19, of starvation.

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“No Canadian should need to go without food…”

By refusing to hear the pleas of business and press agents, Trudeau is ignoring another vulnerable sector of society.  Businesses.

By handing out money, freely, to workers.  By ignoring the needs of the employers (not the businesses, those are pieces of paper – the employers, the people who run the businesses) you are failing those vulnerable people whose payrolls keep this country running.  It is people who keep the payrolls happening; bi-weekly payroll after bi-weekly payroll.

By supporting only the workers you are almost guaranteeing that there will be little work to go back to.

By not supporting farming in a way that gets qualified people out working on farms, you, Trudeau, are leading us into what could be – famine.

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“The most important people in this country, right now, are the frontline workers!”

Doctors, nurses, paramedics, ambulance attendants, care aids and janitorial staff are important.  Are they more important than the chemists who put the drugs into their hands to administer to the sick?  Are they more important than the carpenters, brick layers, boilermakers, iron workers, fabricators, boat builders, payroll clerks, realtors, etc.?  Are front line workers more important than the kid at the drive thru window handing out a cup of coffee to a front line worker who just finished a shift?

The frontline workers are very important and need our support.  So is the chain of supply.  That has been broken.  The support that was there to keep hospitals, pharmacies and doctors offices running efficiently has been broken – by those who have taken command.

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“There is a $40,000 loan available to small businesses…”

But, only if there is a payroll.  There is always a way out for the government.  This is an empty promise.  Think about this one.  Where does money come from?  My second year economics professor has been telling every student that passes through his classes the answer to this one.  Simplified – money comes from debt.  More debt, more money…

The money isn’t going out to small businesses until they have built enough debt to sustain a handout.  This is a slippery slope that leads, most often, to mass inflation.

Why the need for a payroll?  I know so many people who have a business that has no employees and no payroll.  They earn enough to support themselves and then, at the end of the year, they pay their taxes.  There is no payroll.  There is no need for a payroll.

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Businesses are failing.  Not just small ones.  The Canada Pension Fund is about to be in serious trouble.  Canada is in trouble.

Canadians need leadership.

Canadians do not need any more of the political theatre that is currently being pumped out in the garden of a 22 room cottage.